According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US 10-year Treasury note yield surged above 4.60% last week, with bond auction demand weakening and interest rate cuts being delayed. The new tax bill is expected to increase the US deficit by over $3.8 trillion in the next ten years (source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 25, 2025). These developments signal higher borrowing costs and persistent inflationary risks, which historically drive increased interest in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin as alternative stores of value. Crypto traders should monitor yield movements and fiscal trends, as rising deficits and delayed rate cuts tend to boost digital asset demand when fiat currency stability appears threatened.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, a recent National Association of Home Builders analysis reveals that 94 million American households cannot afford a $400,000 home, while the median new home price is around $460,000 (source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 18, 2025). With 70% of US households priced out, this widespread affordability crisis could reduce disposable income and limit traditional investment opportunities, potentially increasing interest in alternative assets like Bitcoin and stablecoins as investors seek inflation hedges and diversification (source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 18, 2025). Traders should monitor crypto inflows and shifts in sentiment as macroeconomic pressures intensify.

According to André Dragosch, PhD (@Andre_Dragosch), there is a high probability that US inflation expectations will increase towards the end of 2025, as inflation dynamics are anticipated to accelerate again. This scenario is negative for bonds, potentially pushing traditional investors to seek alternative assets such as cryptocurrencies for hedging against inflation. Traders should monitor inflation indicators closely and assess crypto market positioning, as rising inflation can fuel demand for assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which are often viewed as inflation hedges (source: @Andre_Dragosch, May 16, 2025).